Where’s safe from the hurricane?

9th Jul 2004

The National Hurricane Centre predicts six to eight hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin during the season that runs from now through October - a “likely continuation of above-normal activity’’ that began in 1995. If you’re visiting a Caribbean island between mid-August and late October, plan ahead, says Frank Lepore of the Hurricane Centre.

When booking, ask what provisions are made for guests in the event of a hurricane.

“Some will allow you to ride out the storm; others will toss you out like you were Typhoon Mary,’’ says Lepore.

The centre issues five-day tropical storm forecasts that are updated every six hours if something is brewing at www.nhc.noaa.gov.

Your worst odds are in September, when 36.3 percent of Atlantic hurricanes occur. August is second (29 percent), October third (18 percent).


Hurricanes are unlikely near the equator, so your safest geographical bets are Aruba, Bonaire and Curaçao.

The Turks and Caicos also brag that they’ve long been hurricane-free.


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